New Orleans Saints or Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Verdict

• New Orleans Saints is projected for 7.3 pts against 5.8 pts for Tampa Bay Buccaneers — a 1.5-point gap.
• Against the call: Over the last three games Tampa Bay Buccaneers has averaged 14.7 pts/g, versus 9.7 pts/g for New Orleans Saints.
• New Orleans Saints faces the quieter offense — CLE is implied for 19.8 points, against 26.8 for CHI.
• Opportunity was left out — team defenses have no usage to measure, so this factor does not apply. Everything else was reweighted to cover it, so the factors above count for more than usual.
• Matchup was left out — nobody publishes a defense-vs-position rank for team defenses, so this factor does not apply.

Projections: internal · updated 21m ago